How to read it. P% is his chance of scoring at least once tonight: his scoring rate blended toward his 2025-26 rate (so a hot or cold October does not move the number on its own), adjusted for tonight's projected team scoring from season goals for/against. FAIR is the odds that probability implies. BEST is the highest anytime-goal Yes price posted in the feed, FD is FanDuel's where carried. EV is the model's edge over the best price: STRONG at +15% or more, LEAN at +7% or more.
MATCHUP is the opponent's goals-against rank versus his position group: #1 toughest (red), #32 softest (green), same as the game pages. Goalie shown is the expected starter with his season save percentage. Players listed Out, Doubtful or on injured reserve are excluded. These are model ratings, not guarantees.